NC1034: Impact Analyses and Decision Strategies for Agricultural Research

(Multistate Research Project)

Status: Active

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SAES-422 Reports

Annual/Termination Reports:

[01/07/2022] [10/03/2022] [12/07/2023]

Date of Annual Report: 01/07/2022

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 12/03/2021 - 12/04/2021
Period the Report Covers: 01/01/2021 - 12/31/2021

Participants

Muhammad Tahir Ali, Graduate Student, University of Nebraska Lincoln
Julian Alston, Distinguished Professor, University of California Davis
Chris Barrett, Professor, Cornell University
Zachary Brown, Associate Professor, North Carolina State University
Amy Carruthers, Student, University of Saskatchewan
Ons Dhaoui, Student, University of Saskatchewan
Anne Dorrance, CFAES Associate Dean and Director Wooster Campus, The Ohio State University
Christopher Eze, Academic/ Lecturer, Federal University of Technology Owerri
Chengcheng Fei, Postdoc, Texas A&M University
Wojciech Florkowski, Professor, The University of Georgia
George Frisvold, Professor, University of Arizona
Keith Fuglie, Econoist, ERS-USDA
Lilyan Fulginiti, Professor, University of Nebraska Lincoln
Eyassu Gachira, Lecturer, Mizan-Tepi University
Savannah Gleim, Research Officer, University of Saskatchewan
Gregory Graff, Professor, Colorado State University
Gelareh Heidariharatmeh, Master student, University of Saskatchewan
Gal Hochman, Professor, Rutgers University
Jared Hutchins, Assistant Professor, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Michael Jacobson, Professor, Penn State
Yan Jin, PhD, Teagasc
Michael Jones, Term Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Alaska Anchorage
Yoko Kusunose, Associate Professor, University of Kentucky
Rim Lassoued, Researcher, University of Saskatchewan
Bruce McCarl, Distinguished Professor, Texas A & M University
Kate McDonald Polakiewicz, Program Specialist, USAID
GianCarlo Moschini, Distingushed Professor, Iowa State University
Latha Nagarajan, Economist, IFDC
Anwar Naseem, Associate Professor, Rutgers University
Yvonne Ndelle, PhD Candidate, University of Saskatchewan
Kelly Nelson, research agricultural economist, ERS-USDA
Ryan Olver, Agricultural Research Economist, ERS-USDA
Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, Associate Professor, Cornell University
Richard Perrin, Prof, University of Nebraska Lincoln
Peter Phillips, Distinguished Professor, University of Saskatchewan
Alejandro Plastina, Associate Professor, Iowa State University
Carl Pray, Professor, Rutgers University
Xudong Rao, Assistant Professor, North Dakota State University
Thomas Reardon,,
Rod Rejesus, Professor, North Carolina State University
Bryan Sarauer, Program Head/Instructor, Saskatchewan Polytech
David Schimmelpfennig, Director, "Phytosanitary Analytics, BES/PPQ/APHIS USDA"
Juan Sesmero, Associate Professor, Purdue University
Guanming Shi, Professor, University of Wisconsin Madison
Robbin Shoemaker, National Program Leader for Economics, NIFA-USDA
Peter Slade, Associate professor, University of Saskatchewan
Ran Sun, Phd student, University of Saskachewan
Bill Thomas, BEO, USAID/RFS
Federico Trindade, Postdoctoral researcher, University of Washington
Albert Ugochukwu, Senior Policy Fellow, University of Saskatchewan
Sun Ling Wang, Senior economist, ERS-USDA
Wenjun Wang, PhD Candidate, University of California Berkeley
Justus Wesseler, Professor, Wageningen University
Brian Wright, Professor, University of California Berkeley
David Zilberman, professor, University of California Berkeley

Participants Attachment:

Final Program for NC1034 Research Conference and Annual Meeting 2021.pdf

Brief Summary of Minutes

Summary of Meeting Minutes for NC1034

held on Zoom, 1:30-3:00 EST on December 4, 2021

Following the NC1034 Annual Research Conference, also held on Zoom, in which 14 papers were presented. See attached conference program for full descriptions:

Invited keynote address
- Thomas Reardon, Michigan State University, Innovation in Symbiotic Value Chains

Justus Wesseler, Wageningen University, Novel Food Regulation in the EU

Zachary Brown, North Carolina State University, Pest Control Gene Drives and Consumer Preferences

GianCarlo Moschini, Iowa State University, Seed Density in US Maize

Juan Sesmero, Purdue University, WaterSmart Irrigation Scheduling

Jared Hutchins, University of Illinois, Cooperative Data Platforms

Brian Wright, University of California Berkeley, Patent Valuation

George Frisvold, University of Arizona, The US Bioeconomy

Gal Hochman, Rutgers University, The Economics of Aquatic Plants

Justus Wesseler, Wageningen University, Does biotech make a difference?

Alejandro Plastina, Iowa State University, Quality of Lowe TFP indexes

Keynote panel: Climate Change, Productivity, and Innovation
- Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, Cornell University
- Bruce McCarl, Texas A&M University
- David Zilberman, University of California Berkeley

Meeting Minutes:

1. Welcome to Anne Dorrance, Associate Dean, College of Food, Agricultural, and Environmental Sciences and Director Wooster Campus, The Ohio State University, and new Advisor for NC1034

2. Thanks and Tributes:

Marshall Martin

George Frisvold

Wally Huffman, in memoriam

3. NC1034 Annual Meetings: past, present, and future (see attached powerpoint slides)

Selection of location, date, and a planning committee for 2022.

Anaheim CA, July 31-August 2, 2022, in conjunction with the annual meetings of the AAEA.

Selected program committee: Greg Graff, David Zilberman, Gal Hochman, and Julian Alston.

4. Discussion of opportunities for multistate collaboration

Discussed formation of a new section within the AAEA, to be focused on innovation in the agricultural value chain or the bioeconomy. Selected a section formation committee: David Zilberman, Greg Graff, Carl Pray, and Julian Alston.

Discussed need for externally focused meetings with industry and policymaker participation, especially to cover political economy issues. Brian Wright recommended conscious effort to bring in experts from other areas of economics. Recommended engagement in or or organization of a Farm Bill oriented conference, in Washington DC, on ag research funding. Selected co-Chairs: Ariel Ortiz-Bobea and Gal Hochman.

5. Nomination and selection of officers

Greg Graff, chair, and Gal Hochman, secretary

6. Other business:

Recommended to produce more non-technical summaries for the general public as well as legislators and their staff. Topics that are critical include

Carbon sequestration

Public acceptance of science.

How to educate the public on these and other such issues?

Accomplishments

Publications

Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 10/03/2022

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 07/30/2022 - 07/30/2022
Period the Report Covers: 10/01/2021 - 09/30/2022

Participants

Brief Summary of Minutes

Members met for a one day research conference in Anaheim CA in conjunction with the 2022 AAEA annual meetings. Twelve research papers were presented and discussed. Key presentations included a talk by Prof David Zilberman on credit considerations in innovation systems and a symposium panel organized by Sun Ling Wang of the USDA Economic Research Service on agricultural productivity and innovation. A brief annual business meeting was moderated by the projects administrative advisor Prof Ann Dorrance. Main topics of business included updates on a petition to form a new AAEA section on innovation in agricultural value chains and the bioeconomy and dates for a 2023 meeting to return to the traditional pattern followed by predecessor projects of the NC1034 of meeting in the Spring. The role of chair was confirmed with Prof Gregory Graff of Colorado State University agreeing to serve another year.

Minutes Attachment:

NC1034 Anaheim final program.pdf

Accomplishments

Accomplishments as reported by a number of key members of NC1034: Julian Alston, University of California Davis <ul> <li>collaboration with Uddin et al. from the VitisGen project on R&D for grape genetic improvement</li> <li>collaboration with Phil Pardey and others (internal among NC1034 participants) on the links between R&D and productivity and how those are modeled</li> <li>collaboration with Wei Zhang (Virginia Tech) on modeling and measuring biological capital and the implications for measures of agricultural inputs and productivity</li> <li>collaboration with Richard Gray and Devin Serfas on modeling and measuring the carbon sequestration implications of alternative crop rotations in Saskatchewan</li> </ul> Chris Barrett, Cornell University <ul> <li>Led scoping study for the proposed FAO Agrifood Systems Technologies and Innovations Outlook (ATIO), a new FAO biennial flagship publication to be publicly announced in October 2022, with a first edition out in 2024.</li> <li>Various informal policy advisory meetings on NC1034-related topics with the President of the Rockefeller Foundation, the USAID Administrator, the Director General and Chief Scientist of FAO, the President of the African Development Bank, etc.</li> <li>Media briefings (published at <a href="https://nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fbarrett.dyson.cornell.edu%2Foutreach%2Fmedia.html&data=05%7C01%7CGregory.Graff%40colostate.edu%7C93c14d0ed73343c972c308da8b7665cb%7Cafb58802ff7a4bb1ab21367ff2ecfc8b%7C0%7C0%7C637975637886210577%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=njRZr%2BKkanLATJgezN6yb4cZYFH6RCbcwvW61N1iG4s%3D&reserved=0">http://barrett.dyson.cornell.edu/outreach/media.html</a>).</li> </ul> George Frisvold, University of Arizona <ul> <li>New project: Southern Arizona’s Circular Bioeconomy: Economic Contributions, Applications, and Outlook.  Study commissioned by the Economic and Business Research Center, Eller College of Management, University of Arizona. </li> <li>Reviewed and provided comments for the Schmidt Futures Foundation report Hodgson, A., Alper, J., Maxon, M.E. 2022. The U.S. Bioeconomy: Charting a Course for a Resilient and Competitive Future. New York: Schmidt Futures. <a href="HTTPS://DOI.ORG/10.55879/D2HRS7ZWC">HTTPS://DOI.ORG/10.55879/D2HRS7ZWC</a></li> <li>Presentation “Advances in Measuring the Bioeconomy” at Contribution of the Bioeconomy to the SDGs: Challenges for Monitoring, Measurement and Modelling an AAEA pre-conference workshop.  July 30, Anaheim, CA</li> </ul> Gregory Graff, Colorado State University <ul> <li>Collaboration with Office of Chief Economist of the US Patent and Trademark Office to investigate relationship between intellectual property and venture capital investment in agriculture</li> <li>Launched new masters degree program in Agribusiness and Food Innovation Management based at new university facilities in Denver</li> <li>New collaboration with David Zilberman and Thomas Reardon (internal among NC1034 participants)</li> </ul> Gal Hochman, Rutgers University <ul> <li>collaborating with David Zilberman (internal among NC1034 participants)</li> <li>USDA NIFA $600,000 grant</li> <li>two grants from NJDEP (one PI and another co-PI) on finish and macro algae in NJ and innovative food systems in NJ</li> <li>presented work on carbon sequestration and moderated webinars on the topic.</li> <li>moderated and organized sessions on agriculture and GHG pollution</li> </ul> Bruce McCarl, Texas A&M University <ul> <li>Investigated the literature on climate change and livestock yields then followed up with econometric studies on livestock productivity effects.  Found that climate change induces inverted U shaped effects on most livestock productivity.  Factored this into a sectoral analysis finding omitting livestock causes a 20% difference welfare in effects of climate change estimates</li> <li>Investigate effects of population growth and climate change on regional water and electricity demand in Texas.  Found climate change increases need for investment in water supply and electricity generating facilities.</li> <li>Found use of lignin based material can be used to cheaply treat environmental spills.</li> <li>Found climate change increases global energy demands by increasing cooling needs</li> <li>Found climate change effects on ozone is reducing crop yields for many crops</li> <li>Found climate change is stimulating land use moving out of cropland to grasslands in hotter areas of US</li> </ul> Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, Cornell University <ul> <li>Trying to start a new collaboration with Phil Pardey and Yuan Cai (internal among NC1034 participants)</li> <li>Recent grant from USDA/AFRI "Agricultural R&D in a changing climate" (3 years) to study the R&D needs to compensate potential TFP slowdown from climate change</li> <li>Appointed to USDA's National Agricultural Research, Extension, Education, and Economics (NAREEE) Advisory Board (<a href="https://nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fnareeeab.ree.usda.gov%2Fboard-members&data=05%7C01%7CGregory.Graff%40colostate.edu%7C19ae45fe9ade42eb347c08da876b4d3f%7Cafb58802ff7a4bb1ab21367ff2ecfc8b%7C0%7C0%7C637971192186038498%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C3000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=6P8h6t%2BL96aih0D6MHg9ikEhaI1uE%2B2K39tfsr9UKLg%3D&reserved=0">https://nareeeab.ree.usda.gov/board-members</a>)</li> </ul> Carl Pray, Rutgers University <ul> <li>Carl Pray and Regina Birner. “Innovation systems for growing a sustainable Bioeconomy” presentation at the plenary session of ICABR Annual meeting, Bologna, Italy. July 6, 2022</li> <li>Organized a conference for USAID policy-makers on Feed the Future Food Policy Research <a href="http://ru-ftf.rutgers.edu/index.html">http://ru-ftf.rutgers.edu/index.html</a>  November 2-3, including presentations on research policy such as Pray, C, J. Anderson, S. Ledermann, and L. Nagarajan (2021) “The Agricultural Innovation System in the Context of the 2020 Pandemic”</li> </ul> David Zilberman, University of California Berkeley <ul> <li>Served on the organizing committee of the ICABR (International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research) <a href="https://icabr.net/icabr-conference-2022-program/">conference in Bologna</a> July 6th – 8th, which addresses issues of biotechnology, supply chain, and innovation. It includes several presentations from NC1034 addressing issues of the bioeconomy, design of supply chain and innovation:</li> <ul> <li>Zilberman was co-author of the paper on the Economics of Aquatic Plants in the Case of Algae and Duckweed.</li> <li>Co-author of another paper on Willingness to buy and pay for meat substitutes.</li> <li>Co-author of the paper Scaling up the Black Soldier Fly industry</li> <li>Participated in a forum of the Future of Food Systems Research and Policy Interfaces</li> <li>In a forum on Innovation, Climate Change, and the Bioeconomy</li> </ul> <li>Participated in the 27th Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists in Rimini Italy</li> <ul> <li>organized session, “The Bioeconomy, Agriculture, and the Environment”</li> <li>gave talk titled “Alternative Vision of Agriculture”</li> </ul> <li>Gave keynote address titled “Innovation for Agriculture and Rural Transformation” at the IFAD/FAO conference “Jobs, Innovation and Rural Value Chain in the context of Climate Transition: Bridging the Gap between Research and Policy” Rome June 24th 2022.</li> </ul>

Publications

Our reporting period is shifting due to changes in the timing of annual meetings this publications list represents as best as possible the reporting period 2021-2022, as disclosed by a portion of the members: Alston, J.M., and D. Gaeta. “Reflections on the Political Economy of European Wine Appellations.” Italian Economic Journal 7 (May 2021): 219–258. doi:0.1007/s40797-021-00145-4 Alston, J.M., P.G. Pardey, and X. Rao. “Payoffs to a Half Century of CGIAR Research.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 104 (2)(2022): 502–529.  First published online 22 August 2021  <a href="https://nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fdoi.org%2F10.1111%2Fajae.12255&data=05%7C01%7CGregory.Graff%40colostate.edu%7C39448f863ceb45afbab208da904d7a8e%7Cafb58802ff7a4bb1ab21367ff2ecfc8b%7C0%7C0%7C637980960014155739%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C2000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=PgYY9mpaTItcK%2FFlZ0TLItq8aeCC%2F5zqLPPhsxR3GVA%3D&reserved=0">https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12255</a> Alston, J.M., P.G. Pardey, and X. Rao. “Rekindling the Slow Magic of Agricultural R&D.” Issues in Science and Technology (May 3, 2021): published online <a href="https://nam10.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fissues.org%2Frekindling-magic-agricultural-research-development-alston-pardey-rao%2F&data=05%7C01%7CGregory.Graff%40colostate.edu%7C39448f863ceb45afbab208da904d7a8e%7Cafb58802ff7a4bb1ab21367ff2ecfc8b%7C0%7C0%7C637980960014155739%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C2000%7C%7C%7C&sdata=9KHFX26VWi8cI4sZlcZwhOciaoXR5q8bts4Lj0%2BvlDI%3D&reserved=0">https://issuorg/rekindling-magic-agricultural-research-development-alston-pardey-rao/</a> Amin, M.D., S. Badruddoza, and J.J. McCluskey, 2021. “Does Conventional Energy Pricing Induce Innovation in Renewable Energy? New Evidence from A Non-Linear Approach,” Applied Economic Perspectives & Policy 43(2): 659–679. Anderson, Jock R., Regina Birner, Latha Nagarajan, Anwar Naseem and Carl E. Pray, “Private Agricultural R&D: Do the Poor Benefit?” Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization 18(2), 1-12. 2021. Cheng, M., B.A. McCarl, and C.J. Fei, "Climate Change and Livestock Production: A Review", Atmosphere, 13, 140.https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13010140, 2022. Cheng, M., C.J. Fei, and B.A. McCarl, "Climate Change Effects on the U.S. Hog Production", Presentation at the 2021 Agricultural & Applied Economics Association Annual Meeting, Austin, TX, August 1 - August 3, 2022. Cheng, M., C.J. Fei, and B.A. McCarl, "Impact of Climate Change on the U.S. Livestock Sector", selected Paper, AAEA meetings, Aneheim, 2022. Cho, S.J., and B.A. McCarl, "Major United States land use as Influenced by an altering climate: a spatial econometric approach", Land, 10, 546.https://doi.org/10.3390/land10050546, 2021. Barrett Christopher B. and David R. Just, editors, Handbook of Agricultural Economics, volume 5 (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 2021). Barrett Christopher B. and David R. Just, editors, Handbook of Agricultural Economics, volume 6 (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 2022). Barrett Christopher B., “The Global Food Crisis Shouldn’t Have Come As a Surprise: How to Finally Fix the Broken System for Alleviating Hunger,” Foreign Affairs, July 2022. Barrett Christopher B., Ariel Ortiz-Bobea and Trinh Pham, "Structural Transformation, Agriculture, Climate, and the Environment," Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, forthcoming Barrett Christopher B., Asad Islam, Abdul Malek, Debayan Pakrashi, Ummul Ruthbah, " Experimental Evidence on Adoption and Impact of the System of Rice Intensification,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 104, issue 1 (January 2022): 4-32 (lead article). (presented at NC1034 previously) Barrett Christopher B., Tim Benton, Jessica Fanzo, Mario Herrero, Rebecca J. Nelson, Elizabeth Bageant, Edward Buckler, Karen Cooper, Isabella Culotta, Shenggen Fan, Rikin Gandhi, Steven James, Mark Kahn, Laté Lawson-Lartego, Jiali Liu, Quinn Marshall, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Alexander Mathys, Cynthia Mathys, Veronica Mazariegos-Anastassiou, Alesha (Black) Miller, Kamakhya Misra, Andrew G. Mude, Jianbo Shen, Lindiwe Majele Sibanda, Claire Song, Roy Steiner, Philip Thornton, and Stephen Wood. Socio-Technical Innovation Bundles for Agri-Food Systems Transformation (Palgrave Macmillan 2022). Da, Y., B.A. McCarl, and Y. Xu, "Effects of ozone and climate on historical (1980-2015) crop yields in the United States: implication on mid-21st century projection", Environmental and Resource Economics, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-021-00629-y, 2021. Deng, Haiyan, Yanhong Jin, Carl Pray, Ruifa Hu, Enjun Xia and Hong Meng “Impact of public research and development and extension on agricultural productivity in China from 1990 to 2013.” China Economic Review, Vol. 70, 1-15, Dec. 2021 Ding, J.X., and B.A. McCarl, "Decadal Climate Variability, Water Availability and Cropping: The Value of Forecast Information in South-Central Texas", Climate Research, 83: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01629, 1-14, 2021. Dubock, Adrian C., Justus Wesseler, Robert M. Russell, Chen Chen, and David Zilberman. "Golden rice, VAD, Covid and public health: Saving lives and money." In Integrative Advances in Rice Research. IntechOpen, 2021. Fei, C.J., B.A. McCarl, Y.Q. Yang, Y. Lei, L. Li, R. Srinivasan, B. Sheng, E.K. Ayana, and X.X. Fan, "Impacts of climate change on water management", Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Volume 44, Issue 3 p. 1448-1464, 2022. Fei, C.J., K.M. Williamson, R.T. Woodward, B.A. McCarl, and J. Rangel, "Honey Bees, Almonds, And Colony Mortality: An Economic Analysis of the U.S. Pollination Market", Land Economics, 97 (3), 688-703, 2021. Geismar, H.N., B.A. McCarl, and S.W. Searcy, "Optimal design and operation of a second-generation biofuels supply chain", Institute of Industrial and Systems Engineers Transactions, https://doi.org/10.1080/24725854.2021.1956022, 2021. Graff, Gregory, Benjamin Nordbrock, and Andrew Seidl, 2022, "An introduction to the economics of climate change and animal health," Cp 10 in Craig Stephen and Colleen Duncan Eds., Climate Change and Animal Health, CRC Press/Taylor & Francis, Boca Raton, Florida, USA and Abingdon, Oxon, UK. Grant, K.R., R.K Gallardo, and J.J. McCluskey, 2021. “Consumer Preferences for Foods with Clean Labels and New Processing Technologies,” Agribusiness 37(4):764–781. Hochman, Gal & Ruslana Rachel Palatnik. (2022). “The Economics of Aquatic Plants: The Case of Algae and Duckweed.” Annual Review of Resource Economics. 25:24.1-24.22. Hochman, Gal, Hainan Zhang, Lili Xia, Alan Robock, Aleti Saketh, Dominique Y. van der Mensbrugghe, & Jonas Jagermeyr. (2022) “Economic incentives modify agricultural impacts of nuclear war.” Environ. Res. Lett. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac61c7 Hu, Ruifa, Changxin Yu, Yanhong Jin, Carl Pray, and Haiyan Deng. 2022. "Impact of Government Policies on Research and Development (R&D) Investment, Innovation, and Productivity: Evidence from Pesticide Firms in China" Agriculture 12, no. 5: 709. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture12050709 Hunt, C.L., L. Yu, M. Cochran, J.C. Liu, B.A. McCarl, C. Johnson, M. Brun, and M. Berquist, "A Case Study Approach to Analyze High-Containment Laboratory Workflows Promoting Sustainability, Networking, and Innovation", Animal Health Scientific and Technical Review Journal, 39 (3), 2021. Kung, C.C., C.J. Fei, B.A. McCarl, and X.X. Fan, "A review of biopower and mitigation potential of competing pyrolysis methods", Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2022.112443, 2022. Lee, S., and G. Moschini, “On the value of innovation and extension information: SCN‐resistant soybean varieties,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 104(4)(2022):1177-1202. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12283 Lee, S., Y. Ji, and G. Moschini, “Agricultural Innovation and Adaptation to Climate Change: Insights from U.S. Maize,” Journal of Agricultural & Applied Economics Association, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1002/jaa2.20 . Li, J., X. Li, Y. Da, J. Yu, B. Long, C. Bakker, B.A. McCarl, J.S. Yuan, and S.Y. Dai, "Sustainable Environmental Remediation using Biomimetic Multifunctional Lignocellulosic Material", Nature Communications, 13, 4368 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-31881-5, 2022. McCarl, B.A., E.C.H. Yu, and W. Attavanich, "Climate Change Impacts and Strategies for Mitigation and Adaptation in Agriculture", Atmosphere, 12 (5), 545, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12050545, 2021. McCluskey, J.J., 2022. “Control of the Research Agenda in University-Industry Partnerships,”  in Modern Agricultural and Resource Economics and Policy: Essays in Honor of Gordon C. Rausser, DeGorter, H., J.J. McCluskey, J.F.M. Swinnen, D. Zilberman, eds.  Springer, New York: Springer Publishing. Pardey, P.G., and J.M. Alston. “Unpacking the Agricultural Black Box: The Rise and Fall of American Farm Productivity Growth” Journal of Economic History 81(1)(March 2021): 114–155 doi:10.1017/S0022050720000649   Perry, E.D., D. Hennessy, and G. Moschini. “Uncertainty and learning in a technologically dynamic industry: Seed density in US maize,” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 104(4)(2022):1388-1410. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12276">https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12276</a> Purnhagen, Kai P., Stephan Clemens, Dennis Eriksson, Louise O. Fresco, Jale Tosun, Matin Qaim, Richard GF Visser, Andreas PM Weber, Justus HH Wesseler, and David Zilberman. "Europe’s farm to fork strategy and its commitment to biotechnology and organic farming: Conflicting or complementary goals?." Trends in plant Science 26, no. 6 (2021): 600-606. Ramaswami, Bharat, Milind Murugkar, N. Lalitha. Carl E. Pray (2022) “The Political Economy of Plant Biotechnology: Farmers, Media and Opinion in India.” Economic & Political Weekly  LVII (12) 29-36.  March 19, 2022 Reardon, Thomas, Amir Heiman, Liang Lu, Chandra SR Nuthalapati, Rob Vos, and David Zilberman. "“Pivoting” by food industry firms to cope with COVID‐19 in developing regions: E‐commerce and “copivoting” delivery intermediaries." Agricultural Economics 52, no. 3 (2021): 459-475. Smith, Vincent, Justus HH Wesseler, and David Zilberman. "New plant breeding technologies: An assessment of the political economy of the regulatory environment and implications for sustainability." Sustainability 13, no. 7 (2021): 3687. Trigo, Eduardo, Hugo Chavarría, Carl Pray, Stuart J. Smyth, Agustin Torroba, Justus Wesseler, David Zilberman, Juan F. Martinez  “The Bioeconomy and Food Systems Transformation.” in Science and Innovations for Food Systems Transformation and Summit Actions Joachim von Braun, Kaosar Afsana, Louise O . Fresco, Mohamed Hassan (editors) 2021. UN Food Systems Summit 2021 <a href="https://sc-fss2021.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/ScGroup_Reader_UNFSS2021.pdf">https://sc-fss2021.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/ScGroup_Reader_UNFSS2021.pdf</a> Uddin, A., R.K. Gallardo, B.J. Rickard, J.M. Alston, and O. Sambucci. “Consumer Acceptance of New Plant-Breeding Technologies: An Application to the Use of Gene Editing in Fresh Table Grapes.” PLOS ONE in press (June 2022). Uddin, A., R.K. Gallardo, B.J. Rickard, J.M. Alston, and O. Sambucci. “Consumers’ Willingness to Accept Gene Edited Fruit – An Application to Quality Traits for Fresh Table Grapes.” AgBioForum in review (June 2022). Van Eenennaam, Alison L., Felipe De Figueiredo Silva, Josephine F. Trott, and David Zilberman. "Genetic engineering of livestock: the opportunity cost of regulatory delay." Annual Review of Animal Biosciences 9 (2021): 453-478. Wade, C., J.P.H. Jones, K. Austin, Y.X. Cai, A. Bean, G. Latta, B.A. McCarl, S. Ohrel, S. Ragnauth, J. Creason, and J.S. Baker, "Mitigation potential of the US forest and agriculture sectors across alternative socioeconomic futures", Journal of Forest Economics, 37: 127-161, 2022. 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Impact Statements

Date of Annual Report: 12/07/2023

Report Information

Annual Meeting Dates: 03/30/2023 - 03/31/2023
Period the Report Covers: 01/01/2023 - 12/31/2023

Participants

Please see attached file "NC1034 final program..."

Participants Attachment:

NC1034 final program, March 2023.pdf

Brief Summary of Minutes

The 2023 annual meeting and research conference for the NC1034 multistate project coincided with a workshop organized by USDA-ERS, Farm Foundation, and the GAP Initiative Global, Virginia Tech (USDA-ERS, FF, VT workshop) on March 29-30 in Arlington VA. Sun Ling Wang, of ERS and an NC1034 member, was the lead organizer of the workshop. Several members of NC1034 were invited to speak--including Brent Hueth (USDA-ERS), Richard Perrin (U of Nebraska), Keith Fuglie (USDA-ERS), Guanming Shi (U of Wisconsin), Gregory Graff (Colorado State), Julian Alston (UC Davis)--and the organizers of that workshop extended a special invitation to all other members of NC1034 to attend that by-invitation-only workshop in person. The schedule of events are as follows:

Wednesday March 29:
7:30-4:45 USDA-ERS, Farm Foundation, Virginia Tech workshop, Day 1 (Virginia Tech Executive Briefing Center)
Thursday March 30:
8:00-4:45 USDA-ERS, Farm Foundation, Virginia Tech workshop, Day 2 (Virginia Tech Executive Briefing Center)
5:00-8:00 NC1034 business meeting, reception, and Dinner (Ballston Local restaurant)
Friday March 31
8:00-2:00 NC-1034 paper sessions (Virginia Tech Executive Briefing Center)

At the business meeting we announced the retirement of our current advisor, Ann Dorrance of Ohio State University (who was not present) and the appointment of a new advisor, Tala Awada of the University of Nebraska (also not present). Participants from Nebraska provided encouraging remarks about the opportunity to work under the adivsing of Dr Awada. After a short discussion, the decision was made to hold the next annual meeting in Colorado in the spring of 2024, with details to be decided at a later date. (A previous meeting had been planned to be held in Colorado in Apriil 2020, but was cancelled due to covid.) Potential themes for next year's conference were proposed, including innovation in soil carbon sequestration and innovation in big data for agriculture. Volunteers for the 2024 planning committee were Carl Pray of Rutgers University and Brian Wright of UC Berkeley. Greg Graff was selected to continue as chair/coordinator of NC1034 for another year.

Accomplishments

The formal membership of NC1034 participants affiliated through their ag experiment station or USDA grew this year to 41. In addition to this increasing membership, we have an informal network of over 60 additional colleagues and collaborators on our contact list, many of whom attend NC1034 events and collaborate as coauthors with NC1034 members. In 2023 NC1034 participants generated over 100 publications on topics related to the themes of the NC1034 project. (See publications list.) Of these, 20 publications (or about one fifth of the total) involved two or more NC1034 participants as co-authors in 2023 alone. In March 2023 the NC1034 project membership joined forces with USDA Economic Research Service, the Farm Foundation, and the Global Agricultural Productivity initiative at Virginia Tech to produce a multi-day set of events in the Washington DC area exploring determinants of agricultural productivity, with a wide range of senior scholars and federal policymakers in attendance. For example, NC1034 hosted keynote speaker Stephanie Mercier, former chief economist of the US Senate agriculture committee, now collaborating with one of our members, Vince Smith of Montana State University, on policy advising with the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research.     Other accomplishments and impacts submitted by individual NC1034 members follow: Chris Barrett <ul> <li>briefings to Members of Congress (20 in April, 14 in October) as part of the Aspen Institute Congressional Program.</li> <li>American Risk and Insurance Association 2023 Robert I. Mehr Award for the Journal of Risk and Insurance article published ten years earlier that has “best stood the test of time”, for Chantarat et al. 2013 that developed a new design for index insurance for livestock keepers.</li> <li>Agricultural & Applied Economics Association’s Outstanding American Journal of Agricultural Economics Article Award, 2022 for Barrett, Islam, Malek, Pakrashi & Ruthbah, which evaluated a new rice production method and had been presented at NC1034 at an earlier stage.</li> <li>named to the Editorial Board (equivalent to an Associate Editor), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2023-26</li> </ul> Gregory Graff <ul> <li>continued partnership with Office of Chief Economist US Patent and Trademark Office on impact of patent system on venture capital funding of ag startups</li> <li>working with World Intellectual Property Organization on case study for innovation complexity in agtech</li> <li>launched program engaging graduate students on innovation projects with industry partners as part of new Masters of Agribusiness and Food Innovation Management</li> </ul> Giancarlo Moschini <ul> <li>Moschini, G. (w/ J. Luo and E. Perry), “Switching costs in the US seed industry: Technology adoption and welfare impacts,” XVII EAAE Congress, Rennes, France, 1 September 2023.</li> <li>Moschini, G. (w/ R. Chandra and G. Lade), “Geographical Indications and Welfare: Evidence from the US Wine Market,” XVII EAAE Congress, Rennes, France, 31 August 2023.</li> <li>Moschini, G. (w/ S. Lee and E. Perry), “Genetically engineered varieties and applied pesticide toxicity in U.S. maize and soybeans,” NC1034 Annual Research Conference, Arlington, VA, March 2023.</li> <li>Moschini, G., “Comments of two presentations,” Agricultural Productivity Workshop, USDA-ERS and the Farm Foundation, Arlington, VA, March 2023.</li> <li>Moschini, G. (w/ E. Perry), “Innovation, Licensing, and Competition in the US seed industry,” University of Guelph, Canada, November 2022.</li> </ul> Brian Wright <ul> <li>Collaborated in a large interdisciplinary and multicampus study of the implications of climate change for wheat breeding in the United States, which resulted in an article in Global Change Biology.</li> <li>Supervised a doctoral dissertation on patent valuation by Wenjun Wang. This formed the basis for a presentation by Wang and Wright at the annual meeting of NC1034.</li> </ul> David Zilberman <ul> <li>This year, our work emphasized further understanding of the transition from innovation to supply chains that implement them. We concluded a large survey on supply chains in developing countries and analyzed the evolution of water supply chain and the associated supply chain of innovations such as drip irrigation.</li> <li>Another direction was the further analysis of the bioeconomy and the mechanisms that lead to its establishment.</li> <li>Finally, we worked with some of our collaborators on assessing the cost of banning GMOs and the benefit of future technologies that utilize CRISPR.</li> </ul>